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WSC Social Studies 2017
WSC Social Studies 2017
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1
Which of these is
not
a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Gas emissions
Vibration of the ground
Electromagnetic anomalies
Strange animal behaviour
2
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Intelligence
Life
Humankind
The multiverse
3
Which is
not
an official application of Benford's Law?
Predicting election outcomes
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Detecting voting anomalies
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
4
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
3 minutes to midnight
2 minutes to midnight
3.5 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
5
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
14
13
12
10
6
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Intuition, life and fate
Fate, life and heart
Heart, head and wealth
7
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
Because she was too beautiful
8
(See image for question)
Computer science
Advancements in Physics
Statistics
Modern financial theory
9
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Yarrow stalks
Bamboo shoots
Blades of dried grass
Coins
10
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
It is important that people's decisions are independent
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
11
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Camera
Radio
Electricity
Electric telegraph
12
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Hurricanes
Tsunamis
Floods
Earthquakes
13
(See image for question)
Tsunami height
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
Tsunami attack area
14
The movie
Moneyball
is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Babe Ruth
Nate Silver
Michael Lewis
15
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Sulphur dioxide
Carbon dioxide
Hydrogen sulphide
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
16
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Apollo
The Oracle of Rhea
17
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
LA Dodgers
New York Yankees
18
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
19
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
Type II civilisation
Type I civilisation
Type III civilisation
We're not on any of these points of the scale
20
What is the study of weather called?
Meteorology
Atmospherology
Weatherology
Climatology
21
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
most
agree with?
The existence of black holes
Superposition
Gravity
Relativity
22
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Truthiness
Big data
Black swan event
Conspiracism
23
What is the
main
problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
It distracts you from the bigger picture
Detail is often inaccurate
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
It gives you a false sense of security
24
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
Because his software is far more superior than others
Because he is a mathematical genius
25
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce economic projections
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
Private companies that produce election predictions
26
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book,
The Prophecies
are in groups called:
Centuries
No one knows
Decades
Millenniums
27
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Speed and direction
Severity and temperature
Temperature and direction
Severity and speed
28
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
"Book" was a slang term for money
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
29
(See image for question)
Because they were both uneducated men
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
30
Hurricanes occur in the:
North-western Pacific Ocean
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
Pacific or Indian Ocean
31
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Mesopotamia
Egypt
Jerusalem
India
32
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Likely and unlikely
Frequentists and infrequentists
Objectivists and subjectivists
Probables and improbables
33
Which of these people acts
most similarly
to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
34
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Linear, exponential
The present, the future
Dynamic, predictable
Constant, acceerating
35
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Troposphere
Thermosphere
Stratosphere
Mesosphere
36
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Physicist, rocket
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
37
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
The Electoral College
Politician personality
Likeability
38
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
39
(See image for question)
The Sendai Framework
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Hyogo Framework
The Kyoto Protocol
40
Who is Homo Economicus?
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
41
(See image for question)
Gas
All of them
Solid
Liquid
42
(See image for question)
elements, modes
states, modifiers
elements, energies
houses, actors
43
Bill James invented:
Sabermetrics
Big data
Regression analysis
Bayesian networks
44
Where does the
primary
value of big data come from?
The collection of data itself
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
The variation of data available
The presentation of data collected
45
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
46
What did scientists
confirm
was going to happen in 2012?
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The entire Solar System would line up
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
47
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is
most
similar to the situation explained in:
Everyday
A Statistician to His Love
The Weight of Memories
Back to the Future
48
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
Bracketology
College sport
College basketball
Filling the bracket
49
(See image for question)
Daniel Pecota
Bill Pecota
Steve Pecota
John Pecota
50
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
51
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The American Revolution
The Industrial Revolution
The French Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
52
Which of the following is
not
a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Management of structured historical data
Sabermetrics
Information systems
Predictive analytic models
53
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
A miracle
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
An omen
54
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
55
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Educational institutions, governments and the public
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
Research, entertainment and news sources
56
(See image for question)
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
Nate Silver and his political predictors
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
57
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
The general understanding of matter
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
Hypothetical experiments
58
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
Because climatologists don't record events daily
Because the data is spread over a large area
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
59
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Benford's Law
Littlewood's Law
60
What is the
main
issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
Inaccuracies in data collected
The absence of data management
Not enough data collected
Too much data collected
61
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college basketball
NCAA college lacrosse
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college football
62
(See image for question)
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only be used for small sets of data
63
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical calculation
Statistical conclusion
Statistical observation
Statistical inference
64
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following
except
:
Mathematical Statistics
Anthropology
History
Sociology
65
What is the study of eschatology about?
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
66
(See image for question)
He sold insurance
Mathematics teacher
Blacksmith
He sold cloth and dry goods
67
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
68
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
69
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Cards
Bones
Tea
70
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
They were all victims of assassination
They all killed themselves
They all famously believed in conspiracies
71
(See image for question)
The inability to foresee black swans
The inability to include new circumstances
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
Misunderstanding the patterns
72
Handicapping, by profession, is
most
similar to being a:
Physicist
Stock analyst
Cosmologist
Psephologist
73
(See image for question)
Absence of focus on sustainability
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
74
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
Washington
New Mexico
Albuquerque
Nevada
75
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
Sabermetrics and economics
Psephology and sabermetrics
Economics and psephology
76
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
77
A horoscope takes into account:
Date, time and place of birth
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date of birth
Date and place of birth
78
(See image for question)
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
data collected that overlaps with other data
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
79
(See image for question)
Prediction markets
Big data
Polls
Nowcasting
80
(See image for question)
Because his middle name started with "H"
Because he was addicted to heroin
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was homosexual
81
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is
most closely
linked to:
The Chemists' War
Lizard people
The Montauk Project
The Illuminati
82
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
Viability, Velocity, Variety
Volume, Velocity, Variety
83
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
Pareto's Principle
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
The Law of Large Numbers
Zipf's Law
84
Oracles are considered a form of:
Astrology
Horoscope
Nowcasting
Divination
85
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
algebra and statistics, social
probability and statistics, social
probability and statistics, financial
arithmetic and statistics, financial
86
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Food
Coral
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
Miniature footballs
87
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
Not American
"Prophets"
American
(Theoretical) physicists
88
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
89
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
90
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Anthropologist
Theologist
Psychologist
Theoretical physicist
91
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Catholic Church
Church of England
Orthodox Church
Latter Day Saints
92
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That they are immune to external factors
That real money is involved
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
That it engages with the public more effectively
93
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
Y, K and X
H, Y and K
C, X and Q
X, Q and Z
