Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events

probability and statistics, financial

Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?

Because the data is spread over a very long period of time

How are predictive models used in the field of crime?

Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place

According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?

We're not on any of these points of the scale

Where does the primary value of big data come from?

The analysis and subsequent products of analysis

What is the "Prime Radiant"?

The device that stores the psychohistorical equations

Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?

Because Apollo placed a curse on her

Who is Homo Economicus?

A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest

(See image for question)

Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience

(See image for question)

Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time

Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?

Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software

Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?

It's always better if a group reaches consensus

How did the term "bookmaker" come about?

Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts

Infrasound is used in seismology to:

Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere

(See image for question)

data collected by observing many subjects at the same time

What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?

Jupiter and Saturn would be in line

When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?

Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards

studbud

WSC Social Studies 2017

93 termsStudBud Administration197 plays

Questions 93

Answers

1
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Pareto's Principle
Zipf's Law
The Law of Large Numbers
2
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Bones
Cards
Tea
3
Which is not an official application of Benford's Law?
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
Detecting voting anomalies
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Predicting election outcomes
4
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
probability and statistics, financial
algebra and statistics, social
arithmetic and statistics, financial
probability and statistics, social
5
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
Because climatologists don't record events daily
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
Because the data is spread over a large area
6
Bill James invented:
Regression analysis
Bayesian networks
Sabermetrics
Big data
7
(See image for question)
John Pecota
Steve Pecota
Daniel Pecota
Bill Pecota
8
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college football
NCAA college lacrosse
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college basketball
9
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
10
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Fate, life and heart
Intuition, life and fate
Heart, head and wealth
11
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
Type II civilisation
Type III civilisation
Type I civilisation
We're not on any of these points of the scale
12
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
(Theoretical) physicists
American
"Prophets"
Not American
13
Where does the primary value of big data come from?
The variation of data available
The collection of data itself
The presentation of data collected
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
14
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
15
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
2 minutes to midnight
3 minutes to midnight
3.5 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
16
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The Industrial Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
The American Revolution
The French Revolution
17
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
Because she was too beautiful
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
18
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
Likeability
Politician personality
The Electoral College
19
(See image for question)
states, modifiers
houses, actors
elements, modes
elements, energies
20
Who is Homo Economicus?
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
21
The movie Moneyball is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Michael Lewis
Nate Silver
Babe Ruth
22
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Truthiness
Conspiracism
Black swan event
Big data
23
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next" most agree with?
Superposition
Relativity
The existence of black holes
Gravity
24
What is the main issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
Not enough data collected
Too much data collected
The absence of data management
Inaccuracies in data collected
25
A horoscope takes into account:
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date and place of birth
Date of birth
Date, time and place of birth
26
(See image for question)
Absence of focus on sustainability
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
27
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
X, Q and Z
Y, K and X
H, Y and K
C, X and Q
28
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Sulphur dioxide
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
Hydrogen sulphide
Carbon dioxide
29
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Bamboo shoots
Blades of dried grass
Yarrow stalks
Coins
30
(See image for question)
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they were both uneducated men
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
31
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
LA Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
32
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Camera
Electric telegraph
Radio
Electricity
33
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Intelligence
The multiverse
Life
Humankind
34
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he is a mathematical genius
Because his software is far more superior than others
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
35
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
That real money is involved
That it engages with the public more effectively
That they are immune to external factors
36
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
It is important that people's decisions are independent
37
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
10
14
13
12
38
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Sabermetrics and economics
Psephology and sabermetrics
Economics and psephology
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
39
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
"Book" was a slang term for money
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
40
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Jerusalem
Mesopotamia
India
Egypt
41
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
42
Which of these people acts most similarly to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
43
(See image for question)
All of them
Gas
Liquid
Solid
44
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical inference
Statistical calculation
Statistical conclusion
Statistical observation
45
(See image for question)
data collected that overlaps with other data
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
46
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Mesosphere
Troposphere
Stratosphere
Thermosphere
47
What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The entire Solar System would line up
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
48
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Probables and improbables
Frequentists and infrequentists
Likely and unlikely
Objectivists and subjectivists
49
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
50
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Psychologist
Anthropologist
Theoretical physicist
Theologist
51
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
Volume, Velocity, Variety
Viability, Velocity, Variety
52
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Rhea
The Oracle of Apollo
53
(See image for question)
He sold insurance
Blacksmith
Mathematics teacher
He sold cloth and dry goods
54
Handicapping, by profession, is most similar to being a:
Physicist
Cosmologist
Stock analyst
Psephologist
55
(See image for question)
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it can only be used for small sets of data
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
56
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book, The Prophecies are in groups called:
Decades
No one knows
Centuries
Millenniums
57
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Food
Miniature footballs
Coral
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
58
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
Educational institutions, governments and the public
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Research, entertainment and news sources
59
Which of these is not a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Vibration of the ground
Strange animal behaviour
Electromagnetic anomalies
Gas emissions
60
(See image for question)
Nate Silver and his political predictors
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
61
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
62
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Physicist, rocket
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
63
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
Hypothetical experiments
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
The general understanding of matter
64
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
65
(See image for question)
Statistics
Modern financial theory
Computer science
Advancements in Physics
66
(See image for question)
Because he was addicted to heroin
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was homosexual
Because his middle name started with "H"
67
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
68
What is the study of weather called?
Meteorology
Climatology
Weatherology
Atmospherology
69
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is most closely linked to:
The Montauk Project
Lizard people
The Illuminati
The Chemists' War
70
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
Private companies that produce election predictions
Private companies that produce economic projections
71
What is the study of eschatology about?
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
72
Hurricanes occur in the:
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
Pacific or Indian Ocean
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
North-western Pacific Ocean
73
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
An omen
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
A miracle
74
Which of the following is not a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Management of structured historical data
Information systems
Predictive analytic models
Sabermetrics
75
(See image for question)
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
Misunderstanding the patterns
The inability to foresee black swans
The inability to include new circumstances
76
(See image for question)
Nowcasting
Polls
Big data
Prediction markets
77
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Earthquakes
Tsunamis
Hurricanes
Floods
78
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Littlewood's Law
79
What is the main problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
It distracts you from the bigger picture
It gives you a false sense of security
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
Detail is often inaccurate
80
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is most similar to the situation explained in:
Back to the Future
Everyday
The Weight of Memories
A Statistician to His Love
81
Oracles are considered a form of:
Divination
Nowcasting
Astrology
Horoscope
82
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
New Mexico
Washington
Nevada
Albuquerque
83
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all victims of assassination
They all killed themselves
They all famously believed in conspiracies
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
84
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
Filling the bracket
College sport
College basketball
Bracketology
85
(See image for question)
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Kyoto Protocol
The Hyogo Framework
The Sendai Framework
86
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Catholic Church
Orthodox Church
Latter Day Saints
Church of England
87
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Constant, acceerating
The present, the future
Linear, exponential
Dynamic, predictable
88
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
89
(See image for question)
Tsunami height
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
Tsunami attack area
90
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
91
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Severity and speed
Speed and direction
Severity and temperature
Temperature and direction
92
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
93
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following except:
Mathematical Statistics
Sociology
History
Anthropology

WSC Social Studies 2017 Flashcards | StudBud

WSC Social Studies 2017

93 termsStudBud Administration197 plays

Questions 93

Answers

1
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Pareto's Principle
Zipf's Law
The Law of Large Numbers
2
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Bones
Cards
Tea
3
Which is not an official application of Benford's Law?
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
Detecting voting anomalies
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Predicting election outcomes
4
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
probability and statistics, financial
algebra and statistics, social
arithmetic and statistics, financial
probability and statistics, social
5
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
Because climatologists don't record events daily
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
Because the data is spread over a large area
6
Bill James invented:
Regression analysis
Bayesian networks
Sabermetrics
Big data
7
(See image for question)
John Pecota
Steve Pecota
Daniel Pecota
Bill Pecota
8
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college football
NCAA college lacrosse
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college basketball
9
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
10
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Fate, life and heart
Intuition, life and fate
Heart, head and wealth
11
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
Type II civilisation
Type III civilisation
Type I civilisation
We're not on any of these points of the scale
12
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
(Theoretical) physicists
American
"Prophets"
Not American
13
Where does the primary value of big data come from?
The variation of data available
The collection of data itself
The presentation of data collected
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
14
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
15
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
2 minutes to midnight
3 minutes to midnight
3.5 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
16
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The Industrial Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
The American Revolution
The French Revolution
17
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
Because she was too beautiful
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
18
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
Likeability
Politician personality
The Electoral College
19
(See image for question)
states, modifiers
houses, actors
elements, modes
elements, energies
20
Who is Homo Economicus?
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
21
The movie Moneyball is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Michael Lewis
Nate Silver
Babe Ruth
22
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Truthiness
Conspiracism
Black swan event
Big data
23
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next" most agree with?
Superposition
Relativity
The existence of black holes
Gravity
24
What is the main issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
Not enough data collected
Too much data collected
The absence of data management
Inaccuracies in data collected
25
A horoscope takes into account:
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date and place of birth
Date of birth
Date, time and place of birth
26
(See image for question)
Absence of focus on sustainability
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
27
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
X, Q and Z
Y, K and X
H, Y and K
C, X and Q
28
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Sulphur dioxide
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
Hydrogen sulphide
Carbon dioxide
29
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Bamboo shoots
Blades of dried grass
Yarrow stalks
Coins
30
(See image for question)
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they were both uneducated men
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
31
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
LA Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
32
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Camera
Electric telegraph
Radio
Electricity
33
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Intelligence
The multiverse
Life
Humankind
34
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he is a mathematical genius
Because his software is far more superior than others
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
35
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
That real money is involved
That it engages with the public more effectively
That they are immune to external factors
36
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
It is important that people's decisions are independent
37
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
10
14
13
12
38
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Sabermetrics and economics
Psephology and sabermetrics
Economics and psephology
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
39
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
"Book" was a slang term for money
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
40
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Jerusalem
Mesopotamia
India
Egypt
41
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
42
Which of these people acts most similarly to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
43
(See image for question)
All of them
Gas
Liquid
Solid
44
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical inference
Statistical calculation
Statistical conclusion
Statistical observation
45
(See image for question)
data collected that overlaps with other data
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
46
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Mesosphere
Troposphere
Stratosphere
Thermosphere
47
What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The entire Solar System would line up
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
48
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Probables and improbables
Frequentists and infrequentists
Likely and unlikely
Objectivists and subjectivists
49
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
50
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Psychologist
Anthropologist
Theoretical physicist
Theologist
51
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
Volume, Velocity, Variety
Viability, Velocity, Variety
52
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Rhea
The Oracle of Apollo
53
(See image for question)
He sold insurance
Blacksmith
Mathematics teacher
He sold cloth and dry goods
54
Handicapping, by profession, is most similar to being a:
Physicist
Cosmologist
Stock analyst
Psephologist
55
(See image for question)
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it can only be used for small sets of data
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
56
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book, The Prophecies are in groups called:
Decades
No one knows
Centuries
Millenniums
57
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Food
Miniature footballs
Coral
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
58
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
Educational institutions, governments and the public
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Research, entertainment and news sources
59
Which of these is not a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Vibration of the ground
Strange animal behaviour
Electromagnetic anomalies
Gas emissions
60
(See image for question)
Nate Silver and his political predictors
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
61
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
62
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Physicist, rocket
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
63
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
Hypothetical experiments
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
The general understanding of matter
64
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
65
(See image for question)
Statistics
Modern financial theory
Computer science
Advancements in Physics
66
(See image for question)
Because he was addicted to heroin
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was homosexual
Because his middle name started with "H"
67
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
68
What is the study of weather called?
Meteorology
Climatology
Weatherology
Atmospherology
69
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is most closely linked to:
The Montauk Project
Lizard people
The Illuminati
The Chemists' War
70
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
Private companies that produce election predictions
Private companies that produce economic projections
71
What is the study of eschatology about?
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
72
Hurricanes occur in the:
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
Pacific or Indian Ocean
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
North-western Pacific Ocean
73
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
An omen
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
A miracle
74
Which of the following is not a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Management of structured historical data
Information systems
Predictive analytic models
Sabermetrics
75
(See image for question)
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
Misunderstanding the patterns
The inability to foresee black swans
The inability to include new circumstances
76
(See image for question)
Nowcasting
Polls
Big data
Prediction markets
77
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Earthquakes
Tsunamis
Hurricanes
Floods
78
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Littlewood's Law
79
What is the main problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
It distracts you from the bigger picture
It gives you a false sense of security
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
Detail is often inaccurate
80
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is most similar to the situation explained in:
Back to the Future
Everyday
The Weight of Memories
A Statistician to His Love
81
Oracles are considered a form of:
Divination
Nowcasting
Astrology
Horoscope
82
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
New Mexico
Washington
Nevada
Albuquerque
83
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all victims of assassination
They all killed themselves
They all famously believed in conspiracies
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
84
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
Filling the bracket
College sport
College basketball
Bracketology
85
(See image for question)
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Kyoto Protocol
The Hyogo Framework
The Sendai Framework
86
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Catholic Church
Orthodox Church
Latter Day Saints
Church of England
87
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Constant, acceerating
The present, the future
Linear, exponential
Dynamic, predictable
88
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
89
(See image for question)
Tsunami height
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
Tsunami attack area
90
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
91
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Severity and speed
Speed and direction
Severity and temperature
Temperature and direction
92
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
93
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following except:
Mathematical Statistics
Sociology
History
Anthropology