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WSC Social Studies 2017
WSC Social Studies 2017
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1
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Psychologist
Theologist
Theoretical physicist
Anthropologist
2
(See image for question)
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
data collected that overlaps with other data
3
(See image for question)
Daniel Pecota
Steve Pecota
John Pecota
Bill Pecota
4
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
5
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
Albuquerque
Washington
New Mexico
Nevada
6
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he is a mathematical genius
Because his software is far more superior than others
7
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
8
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
9
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following
except
:
Sociology
Anthropology
Mathematical Statistics
History
10
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
College sport
Bracketology
College basketball
Filling the bracket
11
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
"Book" was a slang term for money
12
(See image for question)
elements, modes
elements, energies
houses, actors
states, modifiers
13
What is the study of eschatology about?
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
14
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
Littlewood's Law
Benford's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
15
Oracles are considered a form of:
Horoscope
Astrology
Nowcasting
Divination
16
(See image for question)
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
Tsunami attack area
Tsunami height
17
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
18
What is the
main
problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
Detail is often inaccurate
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
It distracts you from the bigger picture
It gives you a false sense of security
19
What is the
main
issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
The absence of data management
Not enough data collected
Inaccuracies in data collected
Too much data collected
20
(See image for question)
Because he was homosexual
Because his middle name started with "H"
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was addicted to heroin
21
What did scientists
confirm
was going to happen in 2012?
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The entire Solar System would line up
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
22
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Rhea
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Apollo
23
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Physicist, rocket
24
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Educational institutions, governments and the public
Research, entertainment and news sources
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
25
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Truthiness
Black swan event
Big data
Conspiracism
26
(See image for question)
The Sendai Framework
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Hyogo Framework
The Kyoto Protocol
27
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
14
10
12
13
28
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Jerusalem
Mesopotamia
Egypt
India
29
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
30
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That they are immune to external factors
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
That real money is involved
That it engages with the public more effectively
31
What is the study of weather called?
Weatherology
Climatology
Meteorology
Atmospherology
32
(See image for question)
Modern financial theory
Statistics
Advancements in Physics
Computer science
33
(See image for question)
He sold insurance
Blacksmith
He sold cloth and dry goods
Mathematics teacher
34
(See image for question)
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
Nate Silver and his political predictors
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
35
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Tsunamis
Hurricanes
Earthquakes
Floods
36
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Mesosphere
Troposphere
Thermosphere
Stratosphere
37
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
Hydrogen sulphide
Carbon dioxide
Sulphur dioxide
38
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
probability and statistics, social
arithmetic and statistics, financial
probability and statistics, financial
algebra and statistics, social
39
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
A miracle
An omen
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
40
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
3.5 minutes to midnight
3 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
2 minutes to midnight
41
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
Because the data is spread over a large area
Because climatologists don't record events daily
42
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
43
A horoscope takes into account:
Date and place of birth
Date, time and place of birth
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date of birth
44
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
C, X and Q
Y, K and X
X, Q and Z
H, Y and K
45
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
Because she was too beautiful
46
(See image for question)
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only be used for small sets of data
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
47
Which of these is
not
a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Electromagnetic anomalies
Gas emissions
Vibration of the ground
Strange animal behaviour
48
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
49
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Miniature footballs
Coral
Food
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
50
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
51
Which of these people acts
most similarly
to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
52
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Zipf's Law
The Law of Large Numbers
Pareto's Principle
53
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Probables and improbables
Likely and unlikely
Frequentists and infrequentists
Objectivists and subjectivists
54
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
The general understanding of matter
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
Hypothetical experiments
55
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is
most
similar to the situation explained in:
Everyday
A Statistician to His Love
Back to the Future
The Weight of Memories
56
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The Industrial Revolution
The American Revolution
The French Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
57
Which is
not
an official application of Benford's Law?
Predicting election outcomes
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Detecting voting anomalies
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
58
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Blades of dried grass
Yarrow stalks
Bamboo shoots
Coins
59
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
60
Handicapping, by profession, is
most
similar to being a:
Stock analyst
Psephologist
Cosmologist
Physicist
61
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
The Electoral College
Politician personality
Likeability
62
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Constant, acceerating
The present, the future
Linear, exponential
Dynamic, predictable
63
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Viability, Velocity, Variety
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Velocity, Variety
64
(See image for question)
All of them
Solid
Gas
Liquid
65
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college basketball
NCAA college football
NCAA college lacrosse
66
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Heart, head and wealth
Intuition, life and fate
Fate, life and heart
67
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical inference
Statistical conclusion
Statistical calculation
Statistical observation
68
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Severity and speed
Speed and direction
Temperature and direction
Severity and temperature
69
Which of the following is
not
a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Management of structured historical data
Predictive analytic models
Sabermetrics
Information systems
70
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
Not American
"Prophets"
(Theoretical) physicists
American
71
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
most
agree with?
Superposition
Gravity
Relativity
The existence of black holes
72
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
It is important that people's decisions are independent
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
73
(See image for question)
Prediction markets
Nowcasting
Big data
Polls
74
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
They all famously believed in conspiracies
They all killed themselves
They were all victims of assassination
75
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Latter Day Saints
Catholic Church
Church of England
Orthodox Church
76
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce economic projections
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce election predictions
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
77
Where does the
primary
value of big data come from?
The presentation of data collected
The collection of data itself
The variation of data available
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
78
(See image for question)
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
Absence of focus on sustainability
79
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
We're not on any of these points of the scale
Type III civilisation
Type II civilisation
Type I civilisation
80
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book,
The Prophecies
are in groups called:
Centuries
Millenniums
No one knows
Decades
81
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
82
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is
most closely
linked to:
The Montauk Project
The Illuminati
The Chemists' War
Lizard people
83
Who is Homo Economicus?
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
84
(See image for question)
Because they were both uneducated men
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
85
Bill James invented:
Regression analysis
Sabermetrics
Big data
Bayesian networks
86
(See image for question)
Misunderstanding the patterns
The inability to foresee black swans
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
The inability to include new circumstances
87
Hurricanes occur in the:
North-western Pacific Ocean
Pacific or Indian Ocean
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
88
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Electric telegraph
Electricity
Radio
Camera
89
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
LA Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
90
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Psephology and sabermetrics
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
Economics and psephology
Sabermetrics and economics
91
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Humankind
Intelligence
The multiverse
Life
92
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Cards
Bones
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Tea
93
The movie
Moneyball
is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Nate Silver
Babe Ruth
Michael Lewis