Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).

Meteorologist, weather forecast

Where does the primary value of big data come from?

The analysis and subsequent products of analysis

How are predictive models used in the field of crime?

Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place

Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?

Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software

What is the "Prime Radiant"?

The device that stores the psychohistorical equations

According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?

We're not on any of these points of the scale

What is the main problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?

You may weigh certain aspects wrongly

(See image for question)

Nate Silver and his political predictors

Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?

Earth, fire, water, metal, wood

Infrasound is used in seismology to:

Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere

Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events

probability and statistics, financial

What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?

"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar

What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?

Jupiter and Saturn would be in line

Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:

Private companies that produce economic projections

(See image for question)

data collected by observing many subjects at the same time

What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?

Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election

Who is Homo Economicus?

A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest

studbud

WSC Social Studies 2017

93 termsStudBud Administration197 plays

Questions 93

Answers

1
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Physicist, rocket
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
2
The movie Moneyball is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Babe Ruth
Michael Lewis
Nate Silver
3
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical calculation
Statistical observation
Statistical conclusion
Statistical inference
4
Where does the primary value of big data come from?
The presentation of data collected
The collection of data itself
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
The variation of data available
5
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
Psephology and sabermetrics
Economics and psephology
Sabermetrics and economics
6
Bill James invented:
Sabermetrics
Big data
Regression analysis
Bayesian networks
7
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is most similar to the situation explained in:
Everyday
A Statistician to His Love
The Weight of Memories
Back to the Future
8
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
9
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he is a mathematical genius
Because his software is far more superior than others
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
10
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is most closely linked to:
The Illuminati
The Montauk Project
Lizard people
The Chemists' War
11
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
12
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Probables and improbables
Frequentists and infrequentists
Objectivists and subjectivists
Likely and unlikely
13
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Volume, Velocity, Variety
Viability, Velocity, Variety
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
14
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
A miracle
An omen
15
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Apollo
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Rhea
16
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
Type I civilisation
Type II civilisation
We're not on any of these points of the scale
Type III civilisation
17
What is the main problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
It gives you a false sense of security
Detail is often inaccurate
It distracts you from the bigger picture
18
(See image for question)
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was addicted to heroin
Because he was homosexual
Because his middle name started with "H"
19
(See image for question)
Big data
Polls
Prediction markets
Nowcasting
20
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Black swan event
Big data
Truthiness
Conspiracism
21
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
14
13
10
12
22
Which of these is not a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Vibration of the ground
Electromagnetic anomalies
Strange animal behaviour
Gas emissions
23
(See image for question)
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
Nate Silver and his political predictors
24
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
Zipf's Law
The Law of Large Numbers
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Pareto's Principle
25
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
26
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
27
(See image for question)
Tsunami attack area
Tsunami height
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
28
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
probability and statistics, financial
algebra and statistics, social
probability and statistics, social
arithmetic and statistics, financial
29
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next" most agree with?
Relativity
Gravity
Superposition
The existence of black holes
30
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
31
Which is not an official application of Benford's Law?
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
Predicting election outcomes
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Detecting voting anomalies
32
What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?
The entire Solar System would line up
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
33
What is the study of weather called?
Weatherology
Climatology
Meteorology
Atmospherology
34
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce economic projections
Private companies that produce election predictions
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
35
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Theologist
Psychologist
Anthropologist
Theoretical physicist
36
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
37
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
38
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
They were all victims of assassination
They all famously believed in conspiracies
They all killed themselves
39
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
Albuquerque
Nevada
New Mexico
Washington
40
Which of the following is not a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Sabermetrics
Management of structured historical data
Information systems
Predictive analytic models
41
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Coins
Blades of dried grass
Yarrow stalks
Bamboo shoots
42
(See image for question)
data collected that overlaps with other data
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
43
Handicapping, by profession, is most similar to being a:
Psephologist
Cosmologist
Stock analyst
Physicist
44
(See image for question)
Steve Pecota
Daniel Pecota
Bill Pecota
John Pecota
45
Oracles are considered a form of:
Divination
Horoscope
Nowcasting
Astrology
46
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Intelligence
Humankind
The multiverse
Life
47
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Coral
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
Miniature footballs
Food
48
Which of these people acts most similarly to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
49
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
50
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
C, X and Q
Y, K and X
X, Q and Z
H, Y and K
51
Who is Homo Economicus?
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
52
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because the data is spread over a large area
Because climatologists don't record events daily
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
53
(See image for question)
Advancements in Physics
Statistics
Computer science
Modern financial theory
54
(See image for question)
states, modifiers
elements, energies
houses, actors
elements, modes
55
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Tea
Bones
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Cards
56
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college football
NCAA college lacrosse
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college basketball
57
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs
LA Dodgers
58
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Hydrogen sulphide
Sulphur dioxide
Carbon dioxide
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
59
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Thermosphere
Troposphere
Mesosphere
Stratosphere
60
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
61
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Camera
Electric telegraph
Radio
Electricity
62
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
"Prophets"
Not American
American
(Theoretical) physicists
63
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
The Electoral College
Likeability
Politician personality
64
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
3 minutes to midnight
3.5 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
2 minutes to midnight
65
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
It is important that people's decisions are independent
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
66
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That real money is involved
That it engages with the public more effectively
That they are immune to external factors
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
67
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
The general understanding of matter
Hypothetical experiments
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
68
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Speed and direction
Severity and temperature
Temperature and direction
Severity and speed
69
(See image for question)
Gas
Solid
All of them
Liquid
70
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The American Revolution
The French Revolution
The Industrial Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
71
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following except:
Mathematical Statistics
Sociology
Anthropology
History
72
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
73
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Heart, head and wealth
Fate, life and heart
Intuition, life and fate
74
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
"Book" was a slang term for money
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
75
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
Benford's Law
Littlewood's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
76
(See image for question)
Absence of focus on sustainability
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
77
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
Research, entertainment and news sources
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Educational institutions, governments and the public
78
What is the main issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
Too much data collected
Inaccuracies in data collected
The absence of data management
Not enough data collected
79
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
College basketball
Bracketology
College sport
Filling the bracket
80
What is the study of eschatology about?
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
81
(See image for question)
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it can only be used for small sets of data
82
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Jerusalem
Egypt
Mesopotamia
India
83
(See image for question)
Because they were both uneducated men
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
84
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Dynamic, predictable
Linear, exponential
The present, the future
Constant, acceerating
85
A horoscope takes into account:
Date, time and place of birth
Date of birth
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date and place of birth
86
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because she was too beautiful
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
87
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Catholic Church
Latter Day Saints
Orthodox Church
Church of England
88
(See image for question)
The Kyoto Protocol
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Sendai Framework
The Hyogo Framework
89
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book, The Prophecies are in groups called:
No one knows
Millenniums
Centuries
Decades
90
(See image for question)
Mathematics teacher
He sold insurance
Blacksmith
He sold cloth and dry goods
91
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Tsunamis
Earthquakes
Floods
Hurricanes
92
(See image for question)
The inability to foresee black swans
Misunderstanding the patterns
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
The inability to include new circumstances
93
Hurricanes occur in the:
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
Pacific or Indian Ocean
North-western Pacific Ocean

WSC Social Studies 2017 Flashcards | StudBud

WSC Social Studies 2017

93 termsStudBud Administration197 plays

Questions 93

Answers

1
Robert Fitzroy, a ( ), invented the ( ).
Physicist, rocket
Philosopher, Final Anthropic Principle
Meteorologist, weather forecast
Mathematician, Law of Truly Large Numbers
2
The movie Moneyball is based on a book originally authored by:
Billy Beane
Babe Ruth
Michael Lewis
Nate Silver
3
In statistics, prediction is part of:
Statistical calculation
Statistical observation
Statistical conclusion
Statistical inference
4
Where does the primary value of big data come from?
The presentation of data collected
The collection of data itself
The analysis and subsequent products of analysis
The variation of data available
5
What are Nate Silver's main focus areas of analysis?
Sabermetrics and psychohistory
Psephology and sabermetrics
Economics and psephology
Sabermetrics and economics
6
Bill James invented:
Sabermetrics
Big data
Regression analysis
Bayesian networks
7
The concept of "brain-net" by Michio Kaku is most similar to the situation explained in:
Everyday
A Statistician to His Love
The Weight of Memories
Back to the Future
8
How are predictive models used in the field of crime?
Identify weapons used and locations of crimes
Detect crime and identify suspects after it has taken place
Identify victims and methods used in crime
Detect crime and identify suspects before it has taken place
9
Why were Nate Silver's poll predictions for the US election so different from everyone else's?
Because he is a mathematical genius
Because his software is far more superior than others
Because he has the most in-depth knowledge of politics
Because he vets the polls before crunching them in software
10
John von Neumann, who did the first computerised weather forecast, is most closely linked to:
The Illuminati
The Montauk Project
Lizard people
The Chemists' War
11
What is the "Prime Radiant"?
The person in charge of processing the psychohistorical data
The equation used to calculate psychohistorical outcomes
The device that stores the psychohistorical equations
The no. of people needed in a population for psychohistory
12
What are the two major competing categories of probability interpretations?
Probables and improbables
Frequentists and infrequentists
Objectivists and subjectivists
Likely and unlikely
13
Industry analyst Doug Laney's definition of big data which is now mainstream has the three Vs:
Volume, Velocity, Variety
Viability, Velocity, Variety
Volume, Velocity, Vocabulary
Volume, Variety, Vacancy
14
Byzantine emperor Manuel giving his son(s) names that began with "A" illustrates what?
A self-fulfilling prophecy
His inherent selective exposure
A miracle
An omen
15
At one point, the most respected oracle of ancient Greece was The Pythia, also known as:
The Oracle of Dodona
The Oracle of Apollo
The Oracle of Delphi
The Oracle of Rhea
16
According to the Kardashev Scale, which groups intelligent civilisations, what are we?
Type I civilisation
Type II civilisation
We're not on any of these points of the scale
Type III civilisation
17
What is the main problem with paying too much attention to detail when predicting?
You may weigh certain aspects wrongly
It gives you a false sense of security
Detail is often inaccurate
It distracts you from the bigger picture
18
(See image for question)
Because he had hemophilia
Because he was addicted to heroin
Because he was homosexual
Because his middle name started with "H"
19
(See image for question)
Big data
Polls
Prediction markets
Nowcasting
20
Nassim Nicholas Taleb popularised the term:
Black swan event
Big data
Truthiness
Conspiracism
21
In a set of tarot cards, each of the four suits has how many cards?
14
13
10
12
22
Which of these is not a precursor to an impending earthquake?
Vibration of the ground
Electromagnetic anomalies
Strange animal behaviour
Gas emissions
23
(See image for question)
William Beane and his baseball statisticians
Jimmy Snyder and his handicappers
Hari Seldon and his mathematicians
Nate Silver and his political predictors
24
Benford's Law is a special case of which empirical law/principle?
Zipf's Law
The Law of Large Numbers
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
Pareto's Principle
25
Chinese astrology has five key elements. What are they?
Earth, fire, water, metal, wood
Air, fire, water, wood, earth
Air, fire, water, metal, wood
Earth, fire, water, air, metal
26
Infrasound is used in seismology to:
Detect vibrations in the ground by collecting sound waves
Listen to seismic waves in the atmosphere
Detect changes in landscape by identifying sound waves
Listen to pre-eruption waves in volcanoes
27
(See image for question)
Tsunami attack area
Tsunami height
Tsunami cause
Tsunami occurrence probability
28
Actuarial science applies ( ) to define, analyze & solve the ( ) implications of future events
probability and statistics, financial
algebra and statistics, social
probability and statistics, social
arithmetic and statistics, financial
29
What concept in Physics would the philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next" most agree with?
Relativity
Gravity
Superposition
The existence of black holes
30
What are the three components of the Mayan calendar?
"Short Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", lunar calendar and religious calendar
"Long Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
"Short Count", solar calendar and religious calendar
31
Which is not an official application of Benford's Law?
As evidence in criminal cases (America)
Predicting election outcomes
Detecting accounting/stock market fraud
Detecting voting anomalies
32
What did scientists confirm was going to happen in 2012?
The entire Solar System would line up
Jupiter and Saturn would be in line
The field of the Earth's magnetism would change 100%
The Earth's spinning direction could reverse
33
What is the study of weather called?
Weatherology
Climatology
Meteorology
Atmospherology
34
Consensus, Reuters and Bloomberg are all:
Private companies that produce sports forecasts
Private companies that produce economic projections
Private companies that produce election predictions
Private companies that produce weather forecasts
35
Brandon Carter, who thought of the Anthropic Principle, is a:
Theologist
Psychologist
Anthropologist
Theoretical physicist
36
Which of the following two people are officially considered futurists?
Michio Kaku and Ray Kurzweil
Hari Seldon and Michio Kaku
Nostradamus and Rasputin
Nate Silver and Ray Kurzweil
37
During New York Yankee's player Babe Ruth's called shot, who were they playing against?
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
38
What do Robert Fitzroy, Adolf Hitler and Kurt Cobain have in common?
They were all famously subjects of conspiracy theories
They were all victims of assassination
They all famously believed in conspiracies
They all killed themselves
39
The Global Seismological Network is in which US state?
Albuquerque
Nevada
New Mexico
Washington
40
Which of the following is not a main general characteristic of sports analytics?
Sabermetrics
Management of structured historical data
Information systems
Predictive analytic models
41
Traditional I Ching involves the throwing of 50:
Coins
Blades of dried grass
Yarrow stalks
Bamboo shoots
42
(See image for question)
data collected that overlaps with other data
data collected by observing many subjects at the same time
data collected that has been cross-referenced w/other data
data collected by observing several aspects of a subject
43
Handicapping, by profession, is most similar to being a:
Psephologist
Cosmologist
Stock analyst
Physicist
44
(See image for question)
Steve Pecota
Daniel Pecota
Bill Pecota
John Pecota
45
Oracles are considered a form of:
Divination
Horoscope
Nowcasting
Astrology
46
What does the Final Anthropic Principle suggest is eternal?
Intelligence
Humankind
The multiverse
Life
47
Paul the Octopus' keepers would present him with boxes containing:
Coral
They were empty, just decorated outside with team flags
Miniature footballs
Food
48
Which of these people acts most similarly to how the servant acts in "Appointment in Samarra"?
The philosopher in "Death and What Comes Next"
The mother in "The Weight of Memories"
Emperor Manuel (AIMA prophecy)
Hari Seldon (Psychohistory)
49
What caused Nate Silver to be nominated as one of The World's 100 Most Influential People?
Being the best editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight
His groundbreaking technology in baseball predictions
For producing revolutionary statistics papers
Accurately predicted 49/50 outcomes in the 2008 US election
50
John Elfreth Watkins (inaccurately) predicted that the English alphabet would've gotten rid of:
C, X and Q
Y, K and X
X, Q and Z
H, Y and K
51
Who is Homo Economicus?
The first economist who was around in ancient Greece
A hypothetical person who behaves according to self-interest
A Greek philosopher who first thought about the economy
A term used to refer to anyone who is an economist
52
Why is climate prediction not so affected by day-to-day events?
Because the data is spread over a large area
Because climatologists don't record events daily
Because the data is spread over a very long period of time
Because single events are completely irrelevant to it
53
(See image for question)
Advancements in Physics
Statistics
Computer science
Modern financial theory
54
(See image for question)
states, modifiers
elements, energies
houses, actors
elements, modes
55
Before I Ching was used in China, what else was used for divination?
Tea
Bones
Mythical stones (like jade etc.)
Cards
56
Bracketology - invented by Joe Lunardi - is most famously used in:
NCAA college football
NCAA college lacrosse
NCAA college ice hockey
NCAA college basketball
57
Which baseball team was the first ever to hire a baseball statistician?
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs
LA Dodgers
58
If we could monitor ( ) accurately we could more effectively the state of unrest at volcanoes.
Hydrogen sulphide
Sulphur dioxide
Carbon dioxide
Dihydrogen monoxide (water vapour)
59
Which layer of the atmosphere does all weather take place?
Thermosphere
Troposphere
Mesosphere
Stratosphere
60
Which two theories seek to debunk supernatural phenomenology?
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Benford's Law
Littlewood's Law and quantum superposition
Littlewood's Law and the Final Anthropic Principle
The Law of Truly Large numbers and Littlewood's Law
61
In 1835, the invention of what greatly advanced weather forecasting?
Camera
Electric telegraph
Radio
Electricity
62
Michio Kaku and Erwin Schrodinger are/were both:
"Prophets"
Not American
American
(Theoretical) physicists
63
One political forecasting model is the Fair Model. What aspect does this focus on?
Economics
The Electoral College
Likeability
Politician personality
64
What is the current "time" on the Doomsday Clock?
3 minutes to midnight
3.5 minutes to midnight
2.5 minutes to midnight
2 minutes to midnight
65
Which of the following statements about crowd wisdom is false?
It's always better if a group reaches consensus
It is important that people's decisions are independent
The most diverse crowds will often beat expert minds
The average judgment of a group converges to be right
66
The main reason that prediction markets are more successful than other forecasting methods is:
That real money is involved
That it engages with the public more effectively
That they are immune to external factors
That the type of statistics they use are more advanced
67
The Schrodinger's Cat experiment was designed to illustrate flaws in:
The general understanding of matter
Hypothetical experiments
The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics
The multiverse theory
68
Nowcasting uses an estimate of the ( ) of current weather to forecast a short period ahead.
Speed and direction
Severity and temperature
Temperature and direction
Severity and speed
69
(See image for question)
Gas
Solid
All of them
Liquid
70
Which of these revolutions did Nostradamus predict?
The American Revolution
The French Revolution
The Industrial Revolution
The Scientific Revolution
71
Psychohistory is a combination of all of the following except:
Mathematical Statistics
Sociology
Anthropology
History
72
When reading tea leaves, which symbols do you analyse first?
It is irrelevant what order, interpretation is key
Start from the centre and move clockwise outwards
The most obvious symbols first, then decipher "stray" leaves
Start from the outer edge and move clockwise inwards
73
What are the three main lines in palm reading?
Heart, head and life
Heart, head and wealth
Fate, life and heart
Intuition, life and fate
74
How did the term "bookmaker" come about?
Refers to bookings made by the people placing their bets
"Book" was a slang term for money
Refers to the books used to track payouts & debts
Refers to the books of raffle-like tickets given to bettors
75
(See image for question)
Zipf's Law
Benford's Law
Littlewood's Law
The Law of Truly Large Numbers
76
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Absence of focus on sustainability
Insufficient focus on risk reduction and resilience
Absence of discussion on the aftermath of natural disasters
Too unrealistic
77
What are the three official categories of sources of big data?
Streaming, social media and publicly available sources
Research, entertainment and news sources
Governments, international bodies and the general population
Educational institutions, governments and the public
78
What is the main issue plaguing basketball analytics currently?
Too much data collected
Inaccuracies in data collected
The absence of data management
Not enough data collected
79
(See image) Complete the following motto of the "Church of Bracketology":
College basketball
Bracketology
College sport
Filling the bracket
80
What is the study of eschatology about?
Theology - about death and judgment of humankind & our souls
Statistics - about calculating all possible future outcomes
Psychology - about how our minds interpret conspiracies
History - about predictions and prophecies in the past
81
(See image for question)
That it cannot differentiate between causation & correlation
That it is drastically affected by anomalies
That it can only detect correlation and not causation
That it can only be used for small sets of data
82
The original "Appointment in Samarra" is an ancient tale from:
Jerusalem
Egypt
Mesopotamia
India
83
(See image for question)
Because they were both uneducated men
Because they were ridiculed in the press during their time
Because they had both said they didn't believe in predicting
Because others had tried to introduce it before but failed
84
According to Ray Kurzweil, "Humans are ( ), and technology is ( )."
Dynamic, predictable
Linear, exponential
The present, the future
Constant, acceerating
85
A horoscope takes into account:
Date, time and place of birth
Date of birth
Date, time, place and conditions during birth
Date and place of birth
86
Why did no one believe Cassandra's predictions?
Because she was too beautiful
Because she wrongly predicted the fall of Troy
Because Apollo placed a curse on her
Because Agamemnon placed a curse on her
87
Paora Te Potangaroa successfully predicted that the Maori people would join the:
Catholic Church
Latter Day Saints
Orthodox Church
Church of England
88
(See image for question)
The Kyoto Protocol
The Paris Climate Agreement
The Sendai Framework
The Hyogo Framework
89
The prophecies in Nostradamus' book, The Prophecies are in groups called:
No one knows
Millenniums
Centuries
Decades
90
(See image for question)
Mathematics teacher
He sold insurance
Blacksmith
He sold cloth and dry goods
91
Between the 1990s and the 2010s, what was the most common natural disaster?
Tsunamis
Earthquakes
Floods
Hurricanes
92
(See image for question)
The inability to foresee black swans
Misunderstanding the patterns
Obtaining inaccurate patterns
The inability to include new circumstances
93
Hurricanes occur in the:
Arctic and Atlantic Oceans
Atlantic and north-eastern Pacific Oceans
Pacific or Indian Ocean
North-western Pacific Ocean